According to the latest Fundación Mapfre report, «Economic and Sector Outlook 2026», the world economy will grow by 3.1% in 2026 and 3% in 2027, however, under a scenario of high uncertainty. The year 2026 will be characterized by moderate growth, a slowdown in inflation, and fiscal policies with increasingly limited room for maneuver. Mapfre Economics anticipates a fragile transition towards potential global growth in 2026. Meanwhile, Asia-Pacific will continue to lead global dynamism with an expected expansion of 4.6%, where China's performance (4.5%) will continue to impact global supply chains and transit through the Panama Canal. For the United States, Mapfre Economics forecasts a 2.2% growth in 2026, warning about the deterioration of the US fiscal situation as a risk to financial stability. The Eurozone is expected to show a more contained expansion of 1.2%, facing persistent structural challenges. For the Latin American region, the report projects a 2.1% growth in 2026, favored by a gradual balance between expansion and disinflation. In this context, geopolitics emerges as a crucial factor that reorganizes international trade and investment flows. In the insurance sector, the analysis by Mapfre Economics indicates that the insurance market will maintain a sustainable growth trajectory during the 2026-2027 period. In Latin America, key opportunities are identified in health insurance, income protection, and climate risk management, sectors where there is still a significant insurance gap. The Non-Life segment will benefit from cost normalization, while the Life segment will take advantage of the interest rate environment.
Mapfre Economics Report Warns of Global Economic Risks in 2026
The Mapfre Economics report forecasts 3.1% global growth in 2026 amidst high uncertainty. Asia-Pacific will lead the expansion, while growth in the US and Eurozone will be more contained. Geopolitical and fiscal risks remain key factors.